The Blue Jays could officially be eliminated from the playoffs as early as today.

Both the Guardians and White Sox won Tuesday night, tightening the math further heading into Toronto's doubleheader against the Orioles.

Toronto gets knocked out if they simply lose one more game this week, or if both the White Sox and Guardians win one more game apiece.

Tuesday's scheduled game in Baltimore was rained out, pushing Toronto into a split doubleheader Wednesday. Game 1 starts at 1:35 p.m. with Max Scherzer on the mound.

Baltimore hasn't announced a starter for the opener yet.

Why the standings math has gotten this tight

Chicago sits at 81-76, four games ahead of Toronto with five games left, and the White Sox hold the tiebreaker.

Their remaining schedule includes three at home against the Rockies and two on the road against the Royals, a favorable slate for a team trying to close things out.

Texas sits at 78-79, one game ahead of Toronto, also with five games remaining and holding its own tiebreaker over the Blue Jays.

The Rangers host the Mets for two before finishing on the road against the Twins for three.

Toronto sits at 77-80 with five games left, three at home against the Reds and two on the road against the Orioles.

Every one of those five games now carries direct elimination stakes, with Toronto needing near-perfect results from itself while also needing Chicago and Texas to stumble.

Scherzer taking the ball in Game 1 gives Toronto its most trusted arm right when the math has become this unforgiving.

Whether today's doubleheader keeps the Blue Jays alive for even one more day depends entirely on how Toronto handles both ends of this suddenly critical split.